States of Jersey Electoral Reform Models
P.17/2021 Amd 2
Draft Constitution of the States and Public Elections (Jersey) Law 202- Amd 2
by Ian Gorst
Constitution:
- Senators: 8
- Constables: 12
- Deputies: 28
- Total: 48
Votes:
- Pour: 29
- Contre: 16
Representation Data:
Deputies Per District
| Constituency | Population | Deputies | Average Representation |
Difference from Average |
Weighting to Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 St Helier South |
10920 | 3 | 3640 | -4.59% | 1.05 |
| District 2 St Helier Central |
13140 | 4 | 3285 | -13.89% | 1.16 |
| District 3 St Helier North |
12480 | 3 | 4160 | 9.04% | 0.92 |
| District 4 St Saviour |
14820 | 4 | 3705 | -2.88% | 1.03 |
| District 5 St Clement |
10060 | 3 | 3354 | -12.08% | 1.14 |
| District 6 St Brelade |
11540 | 3 | 3847 | 0.84% | 0.99 |
| District 7 St Mary / St Ouen / St Peter |
11890 | 3 | 3964 | 3.91% | 0.96 |
| District 8 St John / St Lawrence / Trinity |
12460 | 3 | 4154 | 8.89% | 0.92 |
| District 9 Grouville / St Martin |
9490 | 2 | 4745 | 24.38% | 0.80 |
| 106800 | 28 | 3815 |
Range:
- Most over-represented: District 2 : St Helier Central, -13.89%
- Most under-represented: District 9 : Grouville / St Martin, 24.38%
- Number of representatives per citizen: 2 — 4
District Representatives Proportionally
| Constituency | Population | Ds & Cs | Average Representation |
Difference from Average |
Weighting to Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 St Helier South |
10920 | 3.33 | 3280 | 22.85% | 0.81 |
| District 2 St Helier Central |
13140 | 4.33 | 3035 | 13.67% | 0.88 |
| District 3 St Helier North |
12480 | 3.33 | 3748 | 40.37% | 0.71 |
| District 4 St Saviour |
14820 | 5 | 2964 | 11.01% | 0.90 |
| District 5 St Clement |
10060 | 4 | 2515 | -5.81% | 1.06 |
| District 6 St Brelade |
11540 | 4 | 2885 | 8.05% | 0.93 |
| District 7 St Mary / St Ouen / St Peter |
11890 | 6 | 1982 | -25.77% | 1.35 |
| District 8 St John / St Lawrence / Trinity |
12460 | 6 | 2077 | -22.21% | 1.29 |
| District 9 Grouville / St Martin |
9490 | 4 | 2373 | -11.12% | 1.13 |
| 106800 | 40 | 2670 |
Range:
- Most over-represented: District 7 : St Mary / St Ouen / St Peter, -25.77%
- Most under-represented: District 3 : St Helier North, 40.37%
- Number of representatives per citizen: 3.33 — 6
District Representation
| Constituency | Population | Ds & Cs | Average Representation |
Difference from Average |
Weighting to Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 St Helier South |
10920 | 4 | 2730 | 2.25% | 0.98 |
| District 2 St Helier Central |
13140 | 5 | 2628 | -1.57% | 1.02 |
| District 3 St Helier North |
12480 | 4 | 3120 | 16.85% | 0.86 |
| District 4 St Saviour |
14820 | 5 | 2964 | 11.01% | 0.90 |
| District 5 St Clement |
10060 | 4 | 2515 | -5.81% | 1.06 |
| District 6 St Brelade |
11540 | 4 | 2885 | 8.05% | 0.93 |
| District 7 St Mary / St Ouen / St Peter |
11890 | 4 | 2973 | 11.35% | 0.90 |
| District 8 St John / St Lawrence / Trinity |
12460 | 4 | 3115 | 16.67% | 0.86 |
| District 9 Grouville / St Martin |
9490 | 3 | 3164 | 18.50% | 0.84 |
| 106800 | 40 | 2670 |
Range:
- Most over-represented: District 5 : St Clement, -5.81%
- Most under-represented: District 9 : Grouville / St Martin, 18.50%
- Number of representatives per citizen: 3 — 5
Parish Representatives
| Constituency | Population | Ds & Cs | Average Representation |
Difference from Average |
Weighting to Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grouville | 5320 | 3 | 1774 | -33.56% | 1.51 |
| St Brelade | 11540 | 4 | 2885 | 8.05% | 0.93 |
| St Clement | 10060 | 4 | 2515 | -5.81% | 1.06 |
| St Helier | 36540 | 11 | 3322 | 24.42% | 0.80 |
| St John | 3180 | 4 | 795 | -70.22% | 3.36 |
| St Lawrence | 5850 | 4 | 1463 | -45.21% | 1.83 |
| St Martin | 4170 | 3 | 1390 | -47.94% | 1.92 |
| St Mary | 1990 | 4 | 498 | -81.35% | 5.36 |
| St Ouen | 4450 | 4 | 1113 | -58.31% | 2.40 |
| St Peter | 5450 | 4 | 1363 | -48.95% | 1.96 |
| St Saviour | 14820 | 5 | 2964 | 11.01% | 0.90 |
| Trinity | 3430 | 4 | 858 | -67.87% | 3.11 |
| 106800 | 40 | 2670 |
Range:
- Most over-represented: St Mary, -81.35%
- Most under-represented: St Helier, 24.42%
- Number of representatives per citizen: 3 — 11
Electoral Models:
| Districts | Members | Range of Difference from Average |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | D | C | S | Deputies Only |
District Proportionally |
District Representation |
Parish Representatives |
|
| Current Model | 17 | 29 | 12 | 8 | -46% — 48% | -62% — 42% | -62% — 29% | -62% — 29% |
| P.17/2021 Amd 2 | 9 | 28 | 12 | 8 | -14% — 24% | -26% — 40% | -6% — 19% | -81% — 24% |
| - P.17/2021 Amd 2 Amd | 9 | 31 | 12 | 8 | -10% — 15% | -28% — 32% | -4% — 20% | -80% — 23% |
| P.139/2020 | 9 | 37 | 12 | 0 | -13% — 10% | -22% — 32% | -8% — 15% | -82% — 20% |
| - P.139/2020 Amd 1 | 9 | 52 | 0 | 0 | -8% — 7% | -8% — 7% | -8% — 7% | -84% — 5% |
| - P.139/2020 Amd 2 | 14 | 49 | 0 | 0 | -54% — 25% | -54% — 25% | -54% — 25% | -54% — 20% |
| - P.139/2020 Amd 5 *4 | 6 | 28 | 12 | 8 | -20% — 41% | -32% — 19% | -2% — 61% | -85% — 11% |
| - P.139/2020 Amd 6 | 9 | 37 | 12 | 0 | -24% — 106% | -13% — 13% | -17% — 82% | -70% — 6% |
| - P.139/2020 Amd 7 | 17 | 33 | 12 | 8 | -39% — 68% | -58% — 27% | -58% — 15% | -58% — 18% |
| P.7/2020 *5 | 9 | 37 | 12 | 0 | -18% — 14% | -27% — 39% | -13% — 21% | -82% — 29% |
| - P.7/2020 Amd 1 | 9 | 34 | 12 | 0 | -21% — 99% | -18% — 9% | -13% — 79% | -71% — 6% |
| - P.7/2020 Amd 2 | 9 | 40 | 12 | 0 | -18% — 17% | -23% — 20% | -11% — 21% | -81% — 20% |
| P.126/2019 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 0 | -18% — 13% | -18% — 13% | -18% — 13% | -83% — 6% |
| - P.126/2019 Amd 1 *5 | 9 | 37 | 12 | 0 | -18% — 14% | -27% — 39% | -13% — 21% | -82% — 29% |
| P.133/2016 *1 | 6 | 32 | 12 | 0 | -9% — 17% | -29% — 16% | 6% — 34% | -86% — 16% |
| - P.133/2016 Amd 1 | 6 | 20 | 12 | 6 | -15% — 22% | -34% — 22% | 9% — 46% | -85% — 22% |
| - P.133/2016 Amd 1 Amd *3 | 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | -11% — 19% | -31% — 18% | 8% — 39% | -86% — 18% |
| - P.133/2016 Amd 2 *4 | 6 | 28 | 12 | 8 | -20% — 41% | -32% — 19% | -2% — 61% | -85% — 11% |
| - P.133/2016 Amd 4 | 6 | 26 | 12 | 8 | -11% — 19% | -31% — 18% | 8% — 39% | -86% — 18% |
| P.117/2013 | 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | -28% — 28% | -28% — 14% | -18% — 46% | -85% — 11% |
| P.116/2013 | 17 | 29 | 12 | 6 | -35% — ??? | -24% — 32% | -32% — 32% | -24% — 32% |
| P.98/2013 | 12 | 49 | 0 | 0 | -27% — 25% | -27% — 25% | -27% — 25% | -27% — 25% |
| P.94/2013 | 6 | 34 | 12 | 0 | -17% — 24% | -26% — 12% | -2% — 40% | -86% — 6% |
| - P.94/2013 Amd 1 *2 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | -23% — 30% | -19% — 11% | -5% — 43% | -82% — 8% |
| - P.94/2013 Amd 1 Amd *3 | 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | -11% — 19% | -31% — 18% | 8% — 39% | -86% — 18% |
| - P.94/2013 Amd 2 | 5 | 35 | 12 | 0 | insufficient population data | |||
| P.93/2013 *1 | 6 | 32 | 12 | 0 | -9% — 17% | -29% — 16% | 6% — 34% | -86% — 16% |
| - P.93/2013 Amd 1 *2 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | -23% — 30% | -19% — 11% | -5% — 43% | -82% — 8% |
| - P.93/2013 Amd 1 Amd *3 | 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | -11% — 19% | -31% — 18% | 8% — 39% | -86% — 18% |
| - P.93/2013 Amd 2 | 4 | 32 | 12 | 0 | insufficient population data | |||
| - P.93/2013 Amd 3 | 17 | 31 | 12 | 8 | -42% — 58% | -60% — 32% | -60% — 10% | -60% — 23% |
| P.2/2011 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 8 | -7% — 11% | -35% — 41% | 17% — 41% | -88% — 41% |
| - P.2/2011 Amd 1 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 8 | -17% — 20% | -35% — 61% | 5% — 61% | -88% — 61% |
| - P.2/2011 Amd 2 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 8 | -28% — 272% | -5% — 5% | 3% — 192% | -74% — 3% |
| - P.2/2011 Amd 3 | 17 | 28 | 12 | 8 | -48% — 53% | -63% — 39% | -63% — 26% | -63% — 26% |
| P.72/2009 | 6 | 37 | 12 | 0 | -11% — 9% | -21% — 29% | 1% — 24% | -87% — 29% |
| - P.72/2009 Amd 1 | 6 | 49 | 0 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| - P.72/2009 Amd 2 | 12 | 49 | 0 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| - P.72/2009 Amd 2 Amd | 12 | 47 | 0 | 0 | -56% — 20% | -56% — 20% | -56% — 20% | -56% — 20% |
| - P.72/2009 Amd 3 | 6 | 35 | 12 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| - P.72/2009 Amd 4 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 12 | no model provided | |||
| P.75/2007 | 6 | 36 | 12 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| - P.75/2007 Amd 1 | 12 | 36 | 12 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| - P.75/2007 Amd 3 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| P.64/2007 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 35 | n/a | -78% — 311% | -78% — 311% | -78% — 311% |
| P.145/2006 Amd 1 | 12 | 37 | 0 | 12 | -31% — 19% | -31% — 19% | -31% — 19% | -31% — 19% |
| P.151/2004 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 0 | -7% — 4% | -7% — 4% | -7% — 4% | -89% — 0% |
| P.115/2004 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 0 | -61% — 20% | -61% — 20% | -61% — 20% | -61% — 20% |
| P.179/2001 | 17 | 53 | 0 | 0 | no model provided | |||
| Clothier 42 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 0 | -22% — 35% | -22% — 35% | -22% — 35% | -22% — 35% |
| Clothier 44 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 0 | -35% — 20% | -35% — 20% | -35% — 20% | -35% — 20% |
*# = Duplicate electoral models